Nagaraj Balasubramaniam
Alumnus, IIM Lucknow
Certified Economic journalist
NISM Certified | NCFM Certified
AMFI Registered Mutual Fund Distributor (ARN : 309850 )
APMI Registered PMS Distributor (APRN Code : APRN07791)
Registered AP (Code : AP2513037631)
NSE Academy Certified Market Professional (NCMP)
Author of “A Common Man's Voyage in the Stock Market” " The Behavioral Investor " & “Mastering Options Trading ”
Disclaimer as per SEBI norms: Equity Investment are subject to 100% market risks. Refer your financial consultant advice before Investing. This group is only for Educational and Learning, Knowledge Purposes. Admins have no responsibility for your intended decision & financial losses. Keep calculated & always analyzed your cash position and risk bearing capacity before following msg of our group positing , We do not provide any buy, sell, or hold recommendations, either directly or indirectly. This channel does not offer stock tips signals, or personalized advice.
Nagaraj Balasubramaniam Official
https://youtu.be/lExGHppQcBk?si=v0NrK...
1 day ago | [YT] | 5
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Nagaraj Balasubramaniam Official
Stocks Roar Back: Dow Jones 50,000 Mark – ஒரு வரலாற்று நாள்
அமெரிக்க stock market-ல் ஒரு historic moment.
Dow Jones Industrial Average முதன்முறையாக 50,000 mark-ஐ cross பண்ணியது.
இதன் பின்னணி என்ன? இந்த rally ஏன் வந்தது? Investors இதை எப்படி புரிஞ்சுக்கணும்?
இதோ முழு breakdown 👇
🏛️ Dow Jones 50,000 – ஏன் இது முக்கியம்?
Dow Jones என்பது:
30 பெரிய US companies-ஐ represent பண்ணும் index
Oldest & most watched index in the world
50,000 என்பது:
ஒரு psychological milestone
Market confidence-ஐ reflect பண்ணும் level
👉 இது overnight miracle கிடையாது,
பல ஆண்டுகளாக build ஆன growth-ன் result.
🔄 Market ஏன் இப்போ ‘Roar Back’ ஆனது?
இந்த rally வருவதற்கு முன்:
Tech stocks-ல் heavy sell-off
AI hype காரணமா profit booking
Interest rate uncertainty
ஆனா இப்போ:
Dip buying வந்தது
Investors “overdone correction”-னு feel பண்ணாங்க
Big institutions fresh buying start பண்ணினாங்க
💻 Tech & Semiconductor Stocks – Rally Drivers
இந்த rally-க்கு main fuel:
Semiconductor stocks
AI ecosystem companies
Recent sell-off-ல oversold ஆன stocks-ல:
Sharp bounce
Short covering
Fresh long positions
👉 Meaning:
AI story dead இல்ல, valuation reset நடக்குது.
📊 Broader Market Participation
இந்த rally special ஆன reason:
Only tech இல்லை
Industrial stocks
Banking & financial stocks
Small-cap exposure
👉 Market rally healthy-ஆ broad-based இருந்தது.
⚠️ But… எல்லாம் Green இல்லை
Dow 50,000 cross ஆனாலும்:
சில stocks fall ஆனது
High capex announcements investors-க்கு fear கொடுத்தது
Margin pressure concerns
👉 So this is not “everything is perfect” rally.
🌍 Global Sentiment Improvement
Market sentiment improve ஆக reason:
US inflation cooling expectations
Fed rate cut hope (future)
Geopolitical tensions easing signals
Risk-on mood return
👉 Global confidence = equity rally.
🧠 Investors என்ன புரிஞ்சுக்கணும்?
✔️ Dow 50,000 = Confidence signal
❌ Guarantee of straight up rally இல்லை
Long-term investors:
Don’t chase price
Focus on quality stocks
Short-term traders:
Expect volatility near big numbers
Profit booking normal
📌 Indian Investors-க்கு Meaning
US markets strongனா:
Global sentiment positive
FII flows support India
IT & export-oriented stocks benefit
But:
Indian fundamentals still matter more
Blind US follow avoid பண்ணணும்
1 week ago | [YT] | 35
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Nagaraj Balasubramaniam Official
🇺🇸🤝🇮🇳 Big Move in Global Trade!
The United States will reduce reciprocal tariffs on Indian imports from 25% to 18%, following a phone conversation between Donald Trump and Narendra Modi.
In return, India has agreed to cut tariffs and non-tariff barriers on US goods to ZERO — a major step toward stronger bilateral trade ties.
This decision could boost exports, improve competitiveness, and reshape US-India trade dynamics in the coming years.
📌 Source: Economic Times
However, there has been no official comment or confirmation from New Delhi yet on Trump’s claims.
⸻
Hashtags:
#IndiaUS #TradeDeal #TariffCut #GlobalTrade
#USIndiaRelations #EconomicNews #BreakingNews
#InternationalTrade #BusinessNews #EconomyUpdate
#IndianExports #USTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicTimes
2 weeks ago | [YT] | 34
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Nagaraj Balasubramaniam Official
🚨 BREAKING | Markets
Govt raises STT on F&O — Futures STT jumps to 0.05% (from 0.02%), increasing cost of derivatives trading.
2 weeks ago | [YT] | 21
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Nagaraj Balasubramaniam Official
AI Spending Worry: Microsoft சரிவால் : US & Europe Markets Falling
Microsoft Results: Earnings வந்ததும் ஏன் Share விழுந்தது?
US & Europe Markets-ல் Sell-off தொடர காரணம் என்ன?**
US stock market மற்றும் European markets-ல் ஏற்பட்ட சரிவு, ஒரே ஒரு company result-ஆல் தொடங்கியது என்று சொன்னால் அது மிகையாக இருக்காது. அந்த company — Microsoft.
Microsoft வெளியிட்ட earnings report மற்றும் management commentary, AI (Artificial Intelligence) மீது market வைத்திருந்த எதிர்பார்ப்புகளை reset செய்தது. இதன் விளைவாக US-ல் தொடங்கிய selling, Europe markets-க்கும் பரவியது.
Microsoft management சொன்ன முக்கிய விஷயங்கள்:
AI & Cloud growth sustain ஆக:
Massive capital expenditure (Capex) தேவை
Data centers, GPUs, AI infrastructure-க்கு billions of dollars செலவிட வேண்டியது inevitable
Short term-ல்:
Operating margins pressure-ல் இருக்கும்
AI monetisation (profit generation) time எடுக்கும்
👉 இதன் அர்த்தம்:
AI demand strong, ஆனால் profit immediate இல்லை
இந்த ஒரு line தான் market-க்கு alarm bell.
Europe Market: US-ஐ ஏன் Follow செய்தது?
1️⃣ Europe Depends on US Tech Spending
Europe-ல்:
Semiconductor equipment makers
Industrial automation companies
Engineering & AI infra suppliers
இவையெல்லாம்:
👉 US cloud & AI Capex-ஐ depend செய்கின்றன.
Microsoft capex caution →
Europe companies-க்கு negative signal.
2 weeks ago | [YT] | 29
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Nagaraj Balasubramaniam Official
Trading holiday: The Indian bourses, the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) have declared Thursday, January 15, as a stock market holiday on account of municipal corporation elections in Maharashtra.
"In partial modification to Exchange circular reference no. NSE/CMTR/71775, the Exchange hereby notifies Thursday, January 15, 2026, as a trading holiday in the Capital Market (CM) Segment on account of Municipal Corporation Election in Maharashtra," the NSE said in a circular on Monday.
1 month ago | [YT] | 27
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Nagaraj Balasubramaniam Official
https://youtu.be/ABpKLeizCBc?si=2pSN2...
1 month ago | [YT] | 3
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Nagaraj Balasubramaniam Official
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1 month ago | [YT] | 7
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Nagaraj Balasubramaniam Official
🇺🇸 Trump ஏன் Venezuela-வில் Military Action எடுத்தார்?
1. Maduro Regime-க்கு எதிரான Political Pressure
• U.S.க்கு பிடிக்காத அரசியல் நிலை + human rights issues, dictatorship model.
2. Oil Reserves Control – “It’s the oil strategy”
• Venezuela-க்கு உலகிலேயே பெரிய oil reserves இருக்கு.
• U.S. Energy Dominance strategy-ல இது முக்கிய piece.
• Oil industry control வந்தா U.S.க்கு global pricing influence அதிகமாகும்.
3. Russia & China Influence Cut Down
• Venezuela Russia/China camp-க்கு close.
• Trump administration இதை strategic threat-ஆ பார்க்குது.
• அதனால் geopolitical influence rebalance பண்ணும் move.
4. Domestic Political Messaging
• U.S. மக்கள் கிட்ட “Strong leader / America first” narrative-ஐ reinforce பண்ணும் action.
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📉📈 India Stock Market-க்கு என்ன Impact Expect பண்ணலாம்?
1. Crude Oil Price Volatility
• India ஒரு big oil importer.
• Geopolitical risk வந்தா oil risk premium market-ல add ஆகும் → crude விலை ஏறலாம்.
• Crude ஏறினா:
• Aviation stocks cost அதிகம்
• Logistics, manufacturing margins hit
• Inflation fear வரும்
• Market sentiment negative ஆகும்
2. Indian Rupee (INR) Pressure
• Geopolitical tension → USD stronger, INR weaker bias.
• INR weak ஆனா import cost high, corporate earnings pressure.
3. FII Selling / Risk-off Sentiment
• Global investors risk-off mode-க்கு போனா emerging markets-ல இருந்து funds pull out பண்ணுவாங்க.
• அதனால் Nifty, Sensex open-ல gap down or intraday swings பார்க்கலாம்.
4. Safe Haven – Gold Up
• இப்படிப்பட்ட shocks-ல gold rallies வரும்.
• இது stock market-க்கு indirect signal → risk high.
5. Direct India–Venezuela Trade Impact
• India-க்கு Venezuela-வோட trade exposure low தான்.
• அதனால் direct damage இல்ல, mostly indirect macro impact தான்.
1 month ago | [YT] | 39
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